Several new ideas for the week of 02-15-2021
DEVELOPED 02-16-2021 ranks an “B” trade Next earnings release: 02/22 aftermarket, S&P Capital IQ EPS consensus: $0.11 S&P Capital IQ Rev consensus: 84.59 million Thin volume though ~275,000 I will be SHORT (200) of “PYPL” at $199.75 or > than < $190.75 or a failure to hold above $175.00 I like using PUTS (10 to 20) out 4-6 weeks and or an vertical PUT spread target $130.00 then $110.25 The trailing P/E = 1300 Forward P/E = 360, P/S = 22.65 Short interest = 2.75% of a very small float = 39 Million Book value $9.70 Cash = 2.31
DEVELOPED 02-16-2021 ranks an “B” trade Next earnings release: 02/22 after market, S&P Capital IQ EPS consensus: $0.11 S&P Capital IQ Rev consensus: 84.59 million Thin volume though ~275,000 I will be SHORT (200) of “FRPT” at $199.75 or > than < $190.75 or a failure to hold above $175.00 I like using PUTS (10 to 20) out 4-6 weeks and or an vertical PUT spread target $130.00 then $110.25 The trailing P/E = 1300 Forward P/E = 360, P/S = 22.65 Short interest = 2.75% of a very small float = 39 Million Book value $9.70 Cash = 2.31
DEVELOPED 02-16-2021 ranks an “B” trade I will be SHORT (600) of “MGNI” at $73.75 or > than < $67.95 or a failure to hold above $63.00 target $48.00 then $40.25 The trailing P/E = n/a Forward P/E = n/a, P/S = 26.90 Short interest = 11.49% of a very small float = 107.5 Million Cash = $0.93 Book value n/a 2/5/2021: MGNI Announced an agreement to acquire SpotX from RTL Group for $1.17 bln in cash and stock; the combination is expected to create "the largest independent CTV and video advertising platform in the programmatic marketplace." Co targets more than $35 mln in run-rate operating cost synergies. Also guided Q4 revs above consensus; co sees Q4 CTV revs up +53% on a pro forma basis. Gains to new all-time highs.
DEVELOPED 02-16-2021 ranks an “B” trade I believe this firm is extremely over-valued for an internet content play Should sell-off into earnings and after JMHO as their next earnings release: 02/18/2021 before market. S&P Capital IQ EPS consensus: $0.10 S&P Capital IQ Rev consensus: $54.10 million
I will be SHORT (200) of “FVRR” at $349.75
or > than < $339.75 or a failure
to hold above $322.00 I like using PUTS (10 to 20) out 4-6 weeks and or an
vertical PUT spread target $235.00 then $179.25 The
trailing P/E = 795.00 Forward P/E = 1,000, P/S = 63.90 Short interest = 6.4% of a very small
float = 20.5 Million Book value $4.83
Last earnings: Fiverr beats by
$0.06, beats on revs; guides 2020Q4 revs above consensus (when announced
it was trading at $146.00) they Reported 2020/Q3 (Sept)
earnings of $0.12 per share, $0.06 better
than the S&P Consensus of $0.06; revenues
rose 87.5% year/year to $52.3 mln vs the $48.86 mln S&P Consensus. The firm
issues upside guidance for
2020/Q4, sees 2020/Q4 revs of $52.4-53.4 mln vs. $49.67 mln S&P Consensus.
Fiverr International Ltd. operates an online marketplace
worldwide. Its platform enables sellers to sell their services and buyers to
buy them. The company's platform includes approximately 300 categories in eight
verticals, including graphic and design, digital marketing, writing and
translation, video and animation, music and audio, programming and technology,
business, and lifestyle. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered
in Tel Aviv, Israel.
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